Malmo vs Ludogorets
Malmo surprises with an unexpected qualification in the Champions League play-off. The internal competition, which is in full swing during this period, helped her a lot. The Swedish team reached the best level just when it was needed. This is how he managed to beat Riga FC (1-0 and 1-1), HJK Helsinki (2-1 and 2-2) and Glasgow Rangers (2-1 and 2-1). This qualification from the last round was considered the biggest surprise, especially since it was obtained in the conditions in which he played with one less man. Innocent Bonke is suspended for the red card he received in Glasgow. Antonio-Mirko Colak is the top scorer of the Nordics, with five goals scored in the European competition.
Ludogoretshas two appearances in the Champions League groups, in 2014 and 2016. Since then he has never been so close to a new success. In addition, she is considered the double favourite with Malmo. So far he has passed Soligorsk (1-0 and 1-0), Mura (3-1 and 0-0) and Olympiakos (1-1 and 3-2, after the tiebreaker). Cauly Oliveira-Souza , Pieros Sotiriou and Kiril Despodov scored twice.
I expect both teams to try to take an important option for qualification and that is why I propose a bet of the type both score.
Malmö or Ludogorets is the favorite
Do you notice how in the market "To qualify", the bookmaker gives equal chances to both teams?
Even with a slight advantage for Ludogorets.
At the same time, he identifies Malmö as a big favourite to win the first match.
There is definitely something wrong here. And we have to find it to take advantage of it.
Both teams have not been in the Champions League groups for 5-6 seasons. So the meeting is very important for them.
Officially, such a goal should not be set for Ludogorets.
Unofficially, however, an additional € 30 million from group participation is certainly being considered.
What analysis do the coaches do?
Before any match, the coach of each team makes the following analysis of the opponent:
- Psyche of each individual player
- Strategy and tactics of the team as a whole
The more accurately you make this analysis, the more you will know about the opponent.
The point is to be able to:
- To neutralize his strengths
- To exploit his weaknesses
All this is great and necessary. But…
You also need to be well aware of the capabilities of your own team. Which determines your approach to the match.
Forecast for Malmo - Ludogorets
Malmö have shown that they prefer to dominate their rivals by applying a style of domination.
And in defense they play with high pressure.
However, they have shown that they can play against strong opponents such as Rangers with the intention of blocking only their attacking players.
And make counterattacks with long passes.
Certainly against Ludogorets and as hosts they will apply the first option. And Dambrauskas is well aware of that.
As you can see from the latest news, he has given up on a footballer like Elvis Manu.
Because he is a heavy ram. And it is useful only when Ludogorets dominates the game.
It will obviously be played on a counter-attack.
But there are two problems.
First, the lack of the fast Kiril Despodov is a very heavy loss for such a style.
Second, Ludogorets remains a team that finds it difficult to take the ball out when subjected to high pressure.
What to choose as a football prediction for this match then?
Well, the answer is very simple.
We cannot be sure of the final outcome. But we are sure that the value is in the pledge of equality or even victory of Ludogorets.
Then we choose them to win in at least one half.
In this way, we have a simultaneous combination of both guaranteed value and a wide range of end results.
More about the Champions League: Benfica - PSV
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Malmö have lost just 1 of their last 11 games: 7-3-1.
- Over 2.5 & Goal / Goal in 4 of Malmö's last 5 games.
- Ludogorets has not lost in its last 10 matches: 7-3-0.
- He has over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 matches of Ludogorets.
- There are goals / goals in 4 of the last 5 matches of Ludogorets.