Atalanta is weak in defense!
Atalanta are already 3 households without a victory in the championship. As particularly strange and even undeserved was their last 3-3 against Torino. Which, although they led by 3 goals, they even had to lose.
And again, their bankruptcy in defense stood out. This weakness is the main reason why they are 7th in the standings. Provided that at the same time they have the 2nd strongest attack.
For the Italian Cup, Atalanta has reached the semifinals 6 times. And from them, 4 times until the final. As one in the distant past, he was also won.
Napoli defends their trophy!
Napoli are a 6-time champion with the Italian Cup. As they are its last bearer from the past and edition. The Blues are in 6th place in Serie A.
And they enter this match after an unexpected and undeserved 2-1 loss away to Genoa. As they were a much better team.
Forecast for Atalanta - Napoli
For this match, I can not find a reason why Atalanta are favorites. First of all, I will specify that as the 6th and 7th in the standings, this cup is the safest way for both teams to Europe.
That is, their motivation is guaranteed. Historically, against each other, the statistics are in favor of Napoli.
In particular, the last 3 matches at this stadium have 2 wins for the guests. Atalanta is the 7th strongest host in Serie A. But Napoli is the 6th strongest guest.
The result of the first match is 0-0 and is good, but also insidious enough. And mainly for today's hosts. Because in addition to victory, any kind of goal tie is in favor of Napoli.
If the fear of losing and conceding a goal had frozen both teams in the first match, now hardly anyone will rely on defense. Since both teams are simply not structured to defend.
In a rematch between two offensively strong and defensively weak teams, there are 2 scenarios:
- Or someone's victory.
- Or a tie of type 2-2 and up.
However, the losing team in the second scenario will do everything possible to change things. Therefore, I accept as possible only the obligatory broadcast of a winner in the regular time.
Napoli's winning odds require approximately a 25% chance to be valuable. And I see a much higher chance of a chance. And even for me they are the favorite in this match.
Rather, a big bet for the current cup winner is my choice for prediction.
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Atalanta have lost just 1 of their last 17 games: 9-7-1.
- Atalanta have won 6 of their last 9 home games: 6-2-1.
- There were over 2.5 goals in 8 of Atalanta's last 9 home games .
- Napoli have lost 5 of their last 7 away games: 2-0-5.
- He has over 2.5 goals & goals / goals in 4 of Napoli's last 5 visits.
“Atalanta” is clearly betting on winning the Cup - the team in Bergamo is very solid, and if it is not yet capable of hitting the scudetto, it is quite capable of getting the first trophy in a very long time. There are certain problems with the Bergamasks in defense, but in general they are in decent shape and today they will obviously try to win in regulation time.
Napoli has serious staffing problems, first of all they concern defense - Kalidou Koulibali will definitely miss the match, and Konstantinos Manolas, who did not finish the last match with Genoa due to injury, is unlikely to play either. In this state, it will be extremely difficult for the Neapolitans to count on the final.
We believe that guests have no chance. Forecast - victory of Atalanta.