After the emotions in the three tournaments - Champions League, League of Nations and League of Conferences, the groups of which all the vacancies were filled and after the draw today, in mid-September the serious battles in them will begin. Fortunately, Ludogorets found a place in the groups of LE, and in those of the League of Conferences - CSKA, so at least until mid-December we will have our participation in the tournaments.
Today, Friday in the starting rounds of 7 of the championships that we are watching together with you, we have the chance to have at least 4-5 extremely interesting matches, of which we have chosen three for a short analysis. Arranged by start time, the first match is that of Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Borussia hosts Hoffenheim in the third round of the Bundesliga, and in the last three seasons, rivals usually make very equal and curious clashes.
Borussia started the season loudly with a 5: 2 victory on this field against Eintracht, but with the next two matches they seriously worried their loyal supporters. First, at this stadium they were seriously beaten by the champion Bayern Munich after 1: 3 in the German Super Cup, then quite unexpectedly they lost their visit to Freiburg with 1: 2. And today's rivals in the last three seasons are not an easy obstacle, in 2020 the result was catastrophic at home, and this should be a signal for Marco Rose to take urgent measures in the otherwise full of stars lineup of "Be Fau Be "led by the young Erling Holland.
Hoffenheim was also slightly disappointed after defeating a difficult team like Augsburg 4-0 at the start as a guest, but failed to break another very tough team in Frankfurt - the European fighters from Union Berlin. The match was very dynamic and equal and in the interest of truth, "Hofe" could even lose and that 2: 2 was the most they could get. Today, despite the good results against this opponent and on this field, the young 39-year-old. away coach Sebastian Hoenes must report, the hosts after two losses will want only victory.
Here are these interesting direct matches - in 2018 - 2019 - two draws - 1: 1 in Frankfurt and a goal show on this field - 3: 3, after the "Yellow - Blacks" had taken the lead with 3: 0! In 2019 - 2020 - two victories for Hoffenheim - 2: 1 at home and a defeat on this field with 4: 0. Last season victory for Dortmund with 2: 1 as a guest, but a draw at home - 2: 2. You see, the guests even have an advantage in these last 6 matches, but today the solid favorites are Borussia with more than 5/1, but the tips are only two and of another opinion - X2 and goal / goal. A very good option - over 2.5 goals is low, and we offer you what happened in the last 5 games for the hosts and 4 out of 5 for the guests - goals in both networks. Goal / goal prediction and good luck!
The expectations are for a goal show
Just hearing the names of these two teams in a match between them, and at least a few goals were scored before they started.
So to speak, we start counting from 3 and up.
Even in the past two rounds of the Bundesliga, these expectations seem to be supported by a great deal of optimism.
Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim are the top teams with 6 goals each.
Neighbors in the standings are like 3rd and 4th in the most goals created.
And all this garnished with the 10th and 8th defenses, which allowed the most positions in favor of the opponents.
The bookmaker has prepared brilliantly on the topic of high performance.
And there, whatever we choose in such a direction, we have no chance even for crumbs of the value of the bet .
A separate issue is that there are enough reasons against this result.
But I will not expose them now. Because I found something far more interesting.
Forecast for Dortmund - Hoffenheim
Who and for what exact reason decided Borussia Dortmund to be such a heavy favorite in this match?
Let's start with the fact that in the last 10 years the balance between these two teams is equal.
In the last 5 matches at this stadium, the Black and Yellows have only 2 victories.
And in the most recent there are two draws and between them a heavy loss for Dortmund with 0-4.
I remember well, however, that then the capricious stars of Borussia played against their coach. And they managed to bring him down with this loss.
And despite these details, now the chances of Hoffenheim not to lose the match are not small.
xG ( expected goals ) of both teams, excluding penalties and own goals, respectively as host and guest are:
- Dortmund - 2.84
- Hoffenheim - 3.44
In addition, on xGGD (expected goal difference) again the result is in favor of the guests: 1.47 against 2.71.
Although a little undeservedly Dortmund lost to Freiburg (1-2).
This was probably compensation for the over-efficiency in the previous match - the 5-2 victory against Eintracht.
Hofe enter this match after a not very well-deserved draw with Union Berlin.
Nevertheless, we have a guaranteed slight advantage in the xG data in the direction of Hoffenheim.
And the prognosis, even with a double sign not to lose, is in any case valuable.
Borussia Dortmund will undoubtedly play a major role in the distribution of medals this season in the Bundesliga.
But not yet at this stage and right against this opponent.
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Dortmund is in a series of 20 games without a draw: 13-0-7.
- There are over 2.5 goals in the last 5 games of Dortmund.
- Hoffenheim have not lost in their last 5 games: 2-3-0.
- He has a goal / goal in 9 of Hoffenheim's last 11 games.
- Hoffe have lost just 1 of their last 7 games against Dortmund: 3-3-1.
- Halland is Dortmund 's top scorer with 2 goals. Larsen has 2 for Hoffe.