Villareal vs Granada
Villareal has already played an official match, the European Super Cup, with Chelsea. It was seen that she is ready for a difficult season in La Liga. Coach Unia Emery built a strong team and won the Europa League. It's time to force a place in the ace square again. There are no important changes compared to last year's batch. Gerard Moreno remains the biggest danger in the opponent's box.
Granada finished ninth in the last edition of La Liga. It was a long time in the European area, but the disastrous end of the season brought him the loss of this opportunity. In the summer he lost several important players and I mean Soldado (Levante), Rui Silva (Betis) and Vallejo (Real Madrid). Instead came Luis Abram (Velez), Monch (Girona) and Carlos Bacca (Villareal). Robert Moreno is the coach who will try to keep this team in the first half of the hierarchy. Jorge Molina remains the main hope in the offensive, but he is approaching 40 years old.
The meetings between the two have always been spectacular. The last two games played on Villareal's field ended in a draw, 2-2 and 4-4. My proposal will be one of both scoring or over 2.5 goals in the match.
Villarreal makes a lot of draws
Of course, Villarreal had a very successful season after becoming champions in the Europa League.
And besides, they were 7th in the final standings of the Spanish La Liga.
The most characteristic feature of this team was that only three teams from the Primera created and scored more goals than them.
And Gerard Moreno remained Leo Messi's runner-up in the top scorers' list.
The only clear problems were the losses from the Top 4 teams. And especially a large number of draws - 13 goals.
The team plays hard against those who park the bus in their households.
And now Villarreal will host a rival who will undoubtedly do just that.
Granada has surpassed its potential
Granada ranked surprisingly high in 9th place in La Liga, mainly due to a large number of home victories.
In reality, however, according to xG, the data should have been in 18th place. That is, to fall out.
So they performed above expectations. And they are very likely to pay for it this season.
Forecast for Villarreal - Granada
Now it's time to look for value in this match.
In the last 5 direct matches at this stadium Villarreal have a 60% success rate. As it is not 100% because of the 2 draws.
Including last season.
In total for the campaign as host Villarreal have a 42% success rate.
There is about a 50% chance of the Yellow Submarine winning.
But with the coefficient that is offered, it is clear that it has no value.
A total of 35%, however, is the probability of making Villarreal equal. And about 25% is for Granada to draw.
We have an average probability of 35% odds even a little over 4.00. That is, you get + EV for my forecast.
These are the mandatory calculations that every professional makes when making a bet.
We play than like them. And only when, and only where we have an advantage over the bookmaker's judgment.
More about La Liga on Monday: Elche - Athletic Bilbao
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Villarreal have not won in their last 9 games: 0-5-4.
- He has a goal / goal in 8 of Villarreal's last 9 games.
- Granada is in a series of 3 consecutive victories.
- Granada have not won in their last 10 games against Villarreal: 0-4-6.