Today's last matches of the championships, which we are watching together, dear friends, will be a smooth transition to the consecutive rounds in the three European club tournaments starting from tomorrow to Thursday. But let's focus on the first top match of Monday, in the closing eighth round of Serie A in the beautiful Venice, the hosts of the same name welcome the visiting Fiorentina at their Stadium Pierluigi Penzo.
Venice is a little difficult to adapt to the elite and return after 18 seasons and has only one complete success, two draws and four losses, with which it is currently at the bottom of the table. True, in these seven games only two were on this field - a draw and a loss, they visited strong teams like Napoli and Milan, but the truth is that with the last two draws - 1: 1 on this field with Turin and the last Cagliari as a guest, "Winged Lions" under the leadership of 38-year-old Paolo Zanetti show the beginnings of awakening. Today, this trend against a guest who started much better must be confirmed, victories are needed and the main concern is the attack, which so far marks too little, we exclude the two goals for the only victory away against Empoli with 2: 1.
Fiorentina's performance in these opening rounds is much more effective in this points system - only wins, 4 so far and 3 losses and the 12 points won to keep them in the top half of the table. Apparently, this is the goal of the "Violets" compared to 13th place last season, and the fact that 3 of these victories for the team led by Vincenzo Italiano are far from home, with consistent and over strong teams - 2: 1 over Atalanta and Genoa, and with 1: 0 against Udinese gives them confidence for this visit. The two defeats of Artemio Franki were from the contenders for the title - 1: 3 from the champion Inter and 1: 2 from the leader Napoli and these lost points are certainly good to compensate against the newcomers.
Understandably, we do not have recent statistics between Venice and Fiorentina in Serie A, they last played against each other on 10.02. 2002 on this field - 2: 0 for the hosts. Today with about 2.5 / 1 the guests are favorites, and the tips are 4 and very logical - under and over 2.5 goals, goal/goal and 2. We come to the forecast, and it is not easy in one variant in this situation, we still direct you to the top tip based on the last three games of the hosts - a forecast under 2.5 goals
Venice is fighting for salvation
No one expected any miracles from the newly promoted team of Venice.
And in a sense, their 19th position in Serie A seems natural against the background of 1-2-4 as a result so far.
In the last 4 matches, Venice have won xG (expected goals) against their rivals. Excluding the loss to AC Milan.
They have the typical characteristics of a team struggling to survive.
With the second attack, which created the fewest goal positions in Calcio. And the 8th defense, which allowed the most of them.
In general, this team has negative expectations for their performances in the upcoming matches.
Fiorentina often win penalties
However, the statistics about Fiorentina's team are also very interesting.
This is the team from the top third of the standings, where there is a huge discrepancy between the results and shown on the field.
According to the xG data, instead of the 6th, they should be in the 19th position.
The Violets are a team that has lost xG 4 out of a total of 7 matches played.
And although they are among those who create a few goal positions, they are well realized. Having the good fortune to execute 3 penalties.
Fiorentina's expectations are also negative.
And for this visit to Venice they will be without the goalkeeper Bartholomew Drongowski, who is injured.
Venice against Fiorentina
Historically, the advantage for Fiorentina with an asset of 19-10-13 has no value.
Because the last official meeting between the two teams dates back to 2004.
In 2018, they played a friendly match that ended 0-1 in favor of Venice.
Forecast for Venice - Fiorentina
We realized that this is a match between hosts with little potential and guests with bad form.
We need to look for a trend to catch.
So far, almost nothing.
The referee of the match will be Luka Massimi, 32 years old. This will be his first outfit of the season.
Prior to that, he played a total of 6 Serie A matches. He awarded 24 yellow cards, 1 red card and 3 penalties.
And if I take into account the style of play of both teams, I can tell you exactly what the match will look like.
Possession will benefit Fiorentina.
While Venice will try at every opportunity to send long balls forward in the hope that something will happen there.
My idea is the following.
I expect a lot of violations in this meeting. But the cardboard line is still high.
However, I also admit that there may be a penalty in this match.
If she is in favor of Fiorentina, her performer will be Dusan Vlahovic.
But the odds for his goal in the match are low.
However, the forecast for his team to score from a penalty was assessed just perfectly.
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Venice is in a series of 4 games without a win: 0-2-2.
- He has scored in 4 of his last 5 games in Venice.
- Fiorentina in a series of 3 victories as a guest.
- He has over 2.5 goals in 7 of Fiorentina's last 8 games.
- He has scored in 6 of his last 7 games for Fiorentina.