Barcelona is in top form
I would not bet in this match to bet on a clear victory of Barcelona against one of the strongest hosts in La Liga.
Not that I have any doubts about the shape of the Catalans.
Nothing of the kind. On the contrary.
Since the beginning of this year, Barça are the team in the best shape of all in La Liga.
This trend remains stable in their last 8 meetings. Although they suffered 2 losses in this period.
In one of the derbies with Real Madrid they were outplayed. But their latest loss was completely undeserved and the result of pure luck for Granada.
There is that in football as well. And that's why it's one of the most difficult sports to predict.
In the end, nothing terrible happened to Barcelona.
But now they need a lot of victory to decide the title in their next home game against Atletico Madrid.
For the last 2 months, the Catalans are the team with the second best indicator of the expected goal difference (without penalties and own goals).
Valencia rarely loses at home
Valencia are in 14th place in La Liga with 6 points above the danger zone. And they need 4 more points to be completely calm.
The most interesting thing for them is that they are highly dependent on the household factor.
Two-thirds of the points were earned at home. And they have only 3 losses at home.
They lost to Sevilla 0-1, Atletico Madrid 0-1 and an own goal and Betis 0-2. They beat Real Madrid 4-1.
From the last 5 matches they have won only 3 points. But at home again they did not lose in 8 consecutive games.
Forecast for Valencia - Barcelona
For this match I decided to miss the already very overestimated expectations for Barcelona's victory.
And I decided to predict no more than 3 goals in one nervous and very tight match.
Therefore, the cartons will not be missing.
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Valencia have not won in their last 5 games: 0-3-2.
- Valencia have not lost in their last 8 home games: 4-4-0.
- There are goals / goals in the last 6 games of Valencia.
- Barcelona have won 10 of their last 13 games: 10-1-2.
- Barcelona have lost only 2 of their last 18 visits: 12-4-2.
- Barça have won just 1 of their last 6 games with Valencia: 1-3-2.
- Soler is Valencia 's top scorer with 8 goals. Messi has 26 for Barça.
- victory for Barcelona
- security: 8/10
- exact result: 0-3