Tottenham - Aston Villa Prediction and Analysis
Tottenham host Aston Villa in the first Premier League match of 2023.
My expectation is that the home team will start the year with a routine win.
Which would allow them to keep their position in the top 4 , where they are before the start of the New Year's round.
My reasons for thinking so is that Spurs have been one of the strongest hosts in the league so far this campaign.
At their Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, they recorded 6 wins and only 2 losses.
As the two losses were against teams from the top 6 - Liverpool and Newcastle.
But in these 6 victories, Antonio Conte's players only kept a clean sheet twice .
But both cases were against teams from the bottom - Everton and Wolves.
It is for this reason that I think Aston Villa will score at least one goal here.
Moreover, the last 4 official meetings of the team from Birmingham ended with the goal/goal option.
Additionally, Aston Villa have scored in their last 3 visits to Tottenham, but have lost 2 of them .
Prediction: 1 and goal/goal.
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Tottenham - statistics and info
Tottenham trailed 3 times , but eventually won against Leeds in a 7-goal thriller at their home ground before the break.
Spurs also came close to pulling off a complete turnaround against Brentford on Boxing Day.
The North London side were trailing 0-2 at the start of the second half.
But a fine Harry Kane header reduced the deficit before Pierre-Emile Hoiberg equalised.
It was the 9th game of the season in which the Spurs have come back into the game after letting their opponent take the lead .
"The first half was very bad, we didn't feel ready, we lost every second ball and we didn't do anything with the ball."
Swedish winger Dejan Kulushevski commented to the club website.
"We have to improve. It's not good to start games like this.
If we want to be a big team, we have to start playing from the first minute."
Kuluszewski was on target as Spurs won 4-0 at Villa Park in April.
And the bookmakers estimate with a pleasant coefficient of 3.40 that he will sign up in this meeting as well.
But Hong Min Son scored a hat trick in that match. And the odds for him to score today are also not to be ignored (2.75).
Aston Villa - statistics and info
Aston Villa entered the Championship break for the World Cup in good form, winning 3 of their last 4 league games.
But restarted the season with a 1-3 home loss to Liverpool.
With his goal, Ollie Watkins responded to accurate first-half strikes from Mohamed Salah and Virgil van Dijk.
Before Stefan Bajcetic put an end to Birmingham's hopes of a turnaround.
Ashley Young told Club TV:
"We have to take the positives from the game and look at the chances we created against a very good team.
We told ourselves at half-time that if we go out and score, things can change. I felt that everything was in our favor.
But when you play against a team like Liverpool and leave empty spaces at the back chasing the 2nd goal, it's very dangerous.
They scored the third goal and then the game was over."
New boss Unai Emery has been content to let Aston Villa play football during his short tenure so far.
Perhaps reacting to the criticism that predecessor Steven Gerrard received for his style of play.
Sooner or later, the Spaniard's work will begin to bear fruit.
Squads and injured footballers
Tottenham
Lineups: Loris; Romero, Dyer, Lenglet; Doherty, Hoiberg, Bisuma, Perisic; Kulusevski, Kane, Son
Injured: Richarlison, Bentancourt, Moura
Aston Villa
Lineups: Martinez; Kash, Konsa, Mings, Digne; McGinn, Kamara, Lewis; Buendia, Watkins, Bailey
Injured: Carlos, Ramsey
League standings and form
| # | Team | M | P | R | H | OG | DG | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 12 | 40 | |
| 2 | Man City | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 15 | 35 | |
| 3 | Newcastle | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 11 | 33 | |
| 4 | Tottenham | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 23 | 30 | |
| 5 | Man Utd | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 29 | |
| 6 | Liverpool | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 19 | 28 | |
| 7 | Brighton | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 24 | |
| 8 | Chelsea | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 24 | |
| 9 | Brentford | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 27 | 23 | |
| 10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 22 | |
| 11 | Palace | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 19 | |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 18 | |
| 13 | Leicester | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 30 | 17 | |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 16 | |
| 15 | Leeds | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | 15 | |
| 16 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 14 | |
| 17 | West Ham | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 14 | |
| 18 | Wolves | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 13 | |
| 19 | Nottingham | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 13 | |
| 20 | Southampton | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 12 |
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