Roma is in crisis
For Roma, it seems like everything in Serie A is over. And in the worst possible way for them.
If last season Paulo Fonseca led them only to 5th place.
It can hardly be an achievement during this Conference League.
The crisis of this team has deepened in the last few months. And they have won only 2 of their last 10 matches in Calcio.
It was no surprise that they were eliminated in the semifinals of the Europa League.
The personnel crisis in the Roma team also remains huge.
There are so many absent players that I am afraid to miss anyone. That is why I will not mention them.
For me, the only thing that matters is that in important positions such as the goalkeeper, and in defense and the midfield, frank debutants will appear.
As well as some teenagers of the club.
They enter the match after a heavy loss with 1-3 from the almost B team of the champion Inter.
Lazio is disappointed
Lazio is also one of the disappointed Serie A teams.
After 4th place last season and participation in the Champions League, now they failed to reach the most prestigious European tournament again.
And it is already clear that they will only have to settle for the Europa League.
However, they cannot be denied the good form of the final rights with 8 victories from their last 10 championship matches.
Their momentum was broken by the lost match with Fiorentina. And the 1-0 victory over Parma was tortured.
For Lazio, the big absentee will be their most creative player Sergei Milinkovich-Savich.
Forecast for Roma - Lazio
This is the Rome derby. Historically, the advantage is for Roma. But in the last 4 matches it is for Lazio with 2 of their wins and 2 draws.
I think that Fonseca will still want to be remembered with something good for the season. And he will try everything not to lose the match.
The very fact that he will move to 4 in defense tells me a lot.
When the opponent surpasses you, you move to such a scheme.
And then the goal is to get nervous and ruin his game in any way.
With such an approach and the visible difficulties in the last 2 games of Lazio in front of goal, I would not risk the goal market.
There is a great danger of few hits and the Eagles not winning.
However, I believe that although without an audience and without being interested in the personality of the referee, such a match cannot pass without cards.
True, in the first clash of the season they were only 9 in number. But now there are all the prerequisites for this figure to be surpassed even.
For Roma, this is the Match. And when he can't with football, he tries other arguments.
The Wolves will lose a little more in the derby.
Imagine, in case of a negative result for them, which includes a draw, how "polite" they will be from Lazio.
The bookmaker offers a line of Over / Under 5.5 cards.
I have already decided to cover it. But compare the odds for over 5.5 cards with that for a red card in the match.
With all due respect. But with 6 or more cards, the chance of a second yellow is huge.
Top facts and trends
- Roma have lost 4 of their last 6 Serie A games: 1-1-4.
- Roma have not lost in their last 5 home games: 3-2-0.
- He has over 3.5 goals in 5 of Roma's last 6 games.
- He has a goal / goal in 7 of Roma's last 9 games.
- Lazio have won 8 of their last 10 Serie A games: 8-0-2.
- Lazio is in a series of 24 games without a draw: 16-0-8.
- Lazio have lost 6 of their last 8 away games: 2-0-6.
- Lazio have won just 1 of their last 8 Roma visits: 1-2-5.
- Henrik Mihtaryan is Roma 's top scorer with 11 goals. Ciro Imobile has 20 for Lazio.