Roma vs Bologna Football Prediction, Betting Tip & Match Preview

PREVIEWS 1551 views 11-04-21

Bologna is in better shape than Roma!

Three teams are gathered in only 5 points in the fight for the 5th position in Serie A. Among them is Roma.

If we look at the statistics in general , we will immediately find out why they are not in a far better place in the rankings.

The reason is that the Wolves allow more goals than all the Top 8 teams.

And if they are the third strongest host. Outside, they are only 9th in the standings.

Since February, Roma have played 9 championship matches. Of which they won only 11 out of 27 possible points.

The NP xG D indicator (expected goal difference) of only +0.94 does not indicate good team form at all.

Bologna has +1.85 NPxGD for the same period. Which speaks to almost twice the performance.

Otherwise, Bologna is at a comfortable distance from the relegation. And you can definitely enjoy the game.

My idea for this match is the following.

On the one hand, Bologna are a very convenient opponent for Roma.

And this was well seen in the first meeting of the season. She finished with a 1-5 victory for the Wolves.

However, there are some very important differences between then and now.

First of all, Roma are strong on counterattacks.

As well as to create situations with short plays and breakthroughs of their class strikers.

It is in these three aspects that Bologna's weaknesses are.

Yes, but notice…

Now not Roma, but Bologna will play a counter-attack.

In addition, this element, as well as the creation of play situations, are completely eliminated as advantages for the Wolves.

The reason is simple.

Left-back Spinazola and Mkhitaryan scored both goals and assists in the first clash. But now they will both be absent.

I will only inform you that they have created a total of half of the assists for their team.

I will add my expectations that Bologna have learned their lesson from the first meeting. And if nothing else, at least not to allow another defeat.

Roma are also thinking about the rematch with Ajax.

All this forces me to accept that there will be no successful match.

In such conditions, any end result can be expected. And so I will avoid it as a prediction.

However, the markets for POD goals are rated very low.

For this reason, I decided to choose Under 1.0 Asian Goal Line in the first 45 minutes.

That way, if a goal enters someone's door before the break, our bet is returned.

Mathematical prediction

Roma have won 6 of their last 8 home games: 6-0-2.
Bologna have won just 2 of their last 11 visits: 2-4-5.
Jordan Veretu is Roma 's top scorer with 10 goals. Roberto Soriano has 9 for Bologna.

Roma's last 5 games:

Last 5 Bologna matches:

Last 5 direct meetings: