Will there be a goal show?
In such a semi-final match of the Champions League, what is the first thing that comes to mind of every football fan?
Given the participation of PSG and Manchester City. To Neymar, to Mbape, to Aguero, to Jesus, to Gundogan…
Well, of course. Goals, a lot of goals and that's it.
But this fact is well known to the bookmaker. And accordingly he has prepared very well.
That is, it has left no value in an otherwise absolutely 50:50 market, such as for under / over goals.
And this is well known to those familiar with probability theory.
When we have a combination of odds of 2.00 and up for one choice in this market.
Along with real reasons to choose it, not just looking at the numbers.
We find ourselves in the so-called "Must bet" situation.
This is exactly how I choose a bet for Under 2.5 goals in this match. And now I will explain the reasons.
PSG is strong in counter-attacks
Yes, undoubtedly these are two top teams. And their offensive class is amazing. And what?
Did it impress you that PSG dealt with their previous rivals from the elimination phase, but in the matches as GOST.
Those who really understand football know the real reason. The Parisians are a very strong counter-attacking team.
They have a lot of grouped protection.
And Neymar plays the role of the man who is the link between her and Mbape, who was ambushed.
When Paris Saint-Germain took the ball, they immediately looked for Neymar.
And he or she starts the counter-attack himself, taking the ball out. Or look for Mbape if he has found a position behind the opponent's defense.
Simple and effective play between two very fast and technical players.
The goal is to find Mbape in position 1 on 1 or in a corridor.
Manchester City is ready
Doesn't Pep Guardiola know these things when we comment on them ourselves?
And in these circumstances, will it give PSG a chance for counter-attacks?
Not to mention what will happen if Manchester City score the first goal.
I wonder if I need to mention the style of the Citizens.
But I will only note that what they are doing is being doubly secured on both sides.
And make a continuous transfer of the game from one flank to another.
The purpose of this is to organize empty spaces in the center of the enemy's defense.
Forecast for PSG - Man City
Apart from opportunities in their attacks, however, this double flank presence of Man City has another important effect.
In the event of a counterattack by PSG, Mbape is always on the flank.
In this case, it will be more often on the right to avoid Walker on the left. But there will rarely be 1 on 1.
A difficult, with tactical outplay, low-scoring match awaits us.
Top facts and statistics for the match
- PSG have won 7 of their last 9 games: 7-0-2.
- He has over 3.5 goals in 5 of PSG's last 6 games.
- Man City have won 9 of their last 11 games: 9-0-2.
- Man City is in a series of 16 consecutive away victories.