Milan goes out to win
For Milan, everything is clear. If he wins the two remaining matches in Serie A, the Champions League is guaranteed.
The victories over Turin, Juventus and Benevento at zero and with devastating results speak eloquently about their current form.
With 2.99 xGF (expected goals scored) and 0.29 xGA (allowed) it is clear what we can expect from them in the upcoming match.
Zlatan Ibrahimovic will be absent. But he is well replaced by Ante Rebic.
Cagliari is in good shape
After the change of coach in February, Cagliari achieved good results. And they are in a series of 6 games without a loss.
During this period they met both Roma and Napoli.
Despite the improvement, the upcoming match is important for them. Because they have not yet fully secured their status in Serie A.
In general, they have bad statistics in both attack and defense.
They also present themselves unconvincingly as guests.
However, there is a slight improvement. And they have 1.39 xGF at 1.37 xGA.
Defenders Valukevich and Calabrese are in question. Striker Sotil was also injured, as were midfielders Pereiro and Rog.
Forecast for Milan - Cagliari
In the last 4 matches between these teams, only Milan is the winner. As the Rossoneri won 2-0 in the first match of the season.
Although for different reasons, the match is very important for both teams.
Cagliari will certainly play very defensively. Given the fact that the point will satisfy them completely.
The only question I think is whether the guests will notice at all? And will the hosts do it more than 3 times?
My answer to both questions is rather no.
I also noticed that both teams are not prone to corners.
There are probably some reasons for this with their style and lack of headers.
More importantly, this trend is also beneficial. In combination of both choices, a good prognosis is obtained.
Top facts and trends
- Milan have won just 2 of their last 9 home games: 2-3-4.
- Milan is in a series of 15 home victories against Cagliari.
- Cagliari have not lost in their last 6 games: 4-2-0.
- He has over 2.5 goals in 6 of Milan's last 7 games, as well as in 6 of Cagliari's 7 away games.