I have always shared how many different laws football matches for championships and cups are subject to.
One of the main differences is that points and ranking in the championship do not affect a cup match.
Of great importance, however, are several important factors.
Factor 1: Results
These are the results of the teams from their last few meetings. As well as those between them.
They are decisive for the self-confidence of the players with which they enter the match.
With 5 wins and only 1 loss from the last 6 matches, Borussia Dortmund are the team with the best results in the Bundesliga.
For the same period RB Leipzig are only in 13th position with 2-1-3.
Curiously, however, in the xG standings for the period, the Red Bulls topped the standings. And Dortmund are right behind them.
Where does this difference in the performance of the Republic of Bulgaria come from?
It turns out that Leipzig, as befits the strongest defense in the league, have allowed only 4.83 xGA in front of their door.
Which is again the strongest indicator in the Bundesliga for the period.
But 7 goals conceded in these circumstances are a problem. And it's called penalty kicks.
Conclusion: Due to the better results, the players of Dortmund have higher self-confidence.
And this with a real lack of superiority in the current form.
Of course, it is also fueled by the 3-2 victory in the direct clash with Leipzig for the championship over the weekend.
It doesn't matter that Julian Nagelsman had made a lot of changes in the lineup.
Factor 2: Experience
Another important factor for such a match is experience.
RB Leipzig are the youngest team in the Bundesliga.
In addition, Borussia Dortmund are four-time winners of the German Cup out of a total of 5 finals for it.
Leipzig have only one lost final against Bayern Munich in 2019.
Factor 3: Individual class
In such matches, the individual class of some players is very important.
Currently, Holland and Sancho are wanted by all the top teams in Europe. Players like them raise their price even more by winning a trophy.
But more importantly, right now Jaden Sancho is in incredible shape with 2 goals in the match against RB Leipzig over the weekend.
Erling Holland did not take part due to injury.
Factor 4: Direct matches
The matches against each other are generally in favor of Borussia Dortmund.
Factor 5: Injured players
The only advantage for RB Leipzig is staffing. Because Borussia Dortmund have a total of 7 missing important players.
Forecast for Leipzig - Dortmund
I am aware that this match will have nothing to do with the last one between the two teams.
But I also listed the most important factors in it.
In total, the advantages are for Borussia Dortmund. And I will not ignore them.
Both Julian Nagelsman and Edin Terzic are vying for the first trophy of their careers.
But for the current coach of RB Leipzig there will be enough time to achieve more than one trophy with Bayern from next season.
Now Borussia Dortmund are on the move.
Top facts and trends
- Leipzig have won just 1 of their last 5 games: 1-2-2.
- Leipzig is in a series of 5 clean nets for the Cup.
- Dortmund is in a winning streak of 5 matches.
- Dortmund is in a series of 7 games without a loss to Leipzig: 5-2-0.
- He has over 2.5 goals in 8 of Dortmund's last 10 games.