The last of Saturday's top matches was the one from the fourth round of the German Bundesliga between the vice-champion RB Leipzig and the champion Bayern Munich in the city of Leipzig. This in itself is a sign that the Red Bull Arena will be very, very hot.
RB Leipzig suffered two losses in these initial three rounds, and for the whole last season, they were a total of seven. In both away games, the men of Jesse Marsh, a specialist from the USA who replaced Julian Nagelsman, suffered two minimal losses of 0: 1, the first quite surprising from Mainz, the second from a very strong host like the fourth-ranked Wolfsburg. Between these visits, the "Red Bulls" on this field convincingly won 4-0 against Stuttgart. Today, in this always difficult household, it is very difficult to say which person they will show, but a third loss in four rounds played in very serious competition will be difficult to compensate, moreover, the battles in the Champions League will start next week. Angelino, Halstenberg and Saraki are injured.
Bayern Munich also lost points at the start in their visit to Borussia Mönchengladbach - 1: 1, then it was extremely difficult to beat Cologne at the Allianz Arena with 3: 2, before again defeating Hertha Berlin with 5: 0. The very interesting thing in this case, however, is that the "Bavarians" today are led by Julian Nagelsman, who replaced Hansi Flick, on the field and against the team with which he achieved his greatest success both for them and in his career. Clearly, there will be no big sentiments, for the grandee only victories and titles are important, it is curious with what emotions it will be received by local fans. Today the problems are many - with injuries are Davis, Tolisso, Roca, Upamecano, Hernandez, Zabitzer, Mueller and Pavar, but in the lineup, Lewandowski started again with 5 goals scored.
In 2018 - 2019 - 1: 0 for Bayern at home and 0: 0 on this field. In 2019 - 2020 - two draws - 1: 1 in the home of RB Leipzig and 0: 0 in Munich. In the last campaign a new draw at Allianz Arena - 3: 3, but a loss at this stadium for the "Red Bulls" with 0: 1. The champions are favourites, although not by many, the tips are in many directions - goal/goal yes and no, over 2.5 goals, 1X and 2. We offer you an enhanced option - less than 3.5 goals, provided that on this field in the last three games the limit of 2.5 goals has not been exceeded. Prediction under 3.5 goals with a good rate and pleasant Saturday excitement!
Bayern Munich is the favourite
Surprisingly good odds for a match with a foretold end. There is no argument in favour of the hosts.
Probably the only fact that this match is a derby. Presumably opposing the 2nd and 1st of last season.
And in combination with the fact that then RB Leipzig suffered only 2 home losses, it now gives us so much value for the sign "2".
I will not surprise you if I remind you that one of these losses was from Bayern Munich.
Nor with the fact that in the last 12 meetings between these rivals the Red Bulls have only one victory.
RB Leipzig is still working
However, let's see what the realities are from the start of the new season in the Bundesliga.
RB Leipzig as a team are not officially weakened.
But they were left by coach Julian Nagelsman (in the direction of Bayern).
And apparently they have not yet tuned in to his deputy - Jesse Marsh.
A win and 2 losses are results below what was expected in view of what was shown on the field.
That is, there will probably be a recent rise for Leipzig.
But not right now. Why?
Bayern Munich is in shape
It is true that Bayern had easy rivals. Among which 2 teams from the lower half of the standings from the last championship.
But they definitely outplayed xG ( expected goals ). Although they allowed 1 draw before the next 2 wins.
The trend from last season continues to be the team that created the most goals and scored the most goals.
News about the composition of Bayern
There is something else very important.
Bayern Munich has many nationals in its composition. And they were used in the match against Iceland.
Almost everyone played, however, for only about 50 minutes.
Apparently there were some demands from the Bavarians to the German federation. Which, however, did not pass before, for example, the Polish.
It turns out that Robert Lewandowski is the busiest physical player in their ranks.
News about the composition of Leipzig
But the situation in RB Leipzig is far worse.
First, both Andre Silva and Emil Forsberg played two full matches for their national teams.
The most worrying, however, is the situation on the left-wing and the left defensive midfielder.
There, the two Americans Nkunku and Adams not only played 3 full games in 3 days for the USA.
And they have returned very recently and are starters again.
Hungarian goalkeeper Gulaci, on the other hand, conceded a goal in the first half for his country in the first half.
And he was strangely replaced in the 46th minute.
As long as he's safe now, it's clearly not an injury. And if it is not by agreement with RB Leipzig, there is obviously a problem with the form.
Forecast for Leipzig - Bayern
Traditions, current form and personnel situation are in favour of the guests from Bayern Munich.
And the odds for their victory are not often found at such a good level. And I take it.
Almost the maximum bet amount for this prediction.
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Leipzig have won just 3 of their last 12 games: 3-3-6.
- Leipzig won only 1 of 12 games against Bayern: 1-5-6.
- Bayern is in a series of 4 wins with a 2+ goal difference.
- Bayern have scored 3+ goals in each of their last 4 games.
- Dominik Jobožlaj is Leipzig 's top scorer in the league with 2 goals. Robert Lewandowski has 5 for Bayern.