The matches will be at Ellen Road Stadium, in the only match of the fourth round of the English Premier League on Sunday - Leeds United host Liverpool.
Leeds management and fans can be proud of the performance of their favorites, after a break of 16 years, the team ranked ninth in its first season in the elite, only three points out of seventh and participants in the League of Conferences Tottenham. This should already be forgotten and the "Whites" under the leadership of the Argentine Marcelo Bielsa nicknamed "Crazy" (who pulled out a grenade in 1991 as a coach of Newells against the ultras besieging his home!) Should try to repeat this ranking in the top half. of the ranking. The start was not perfect - a heavy 1: 5 loss to Old Trafford from Manchester United, then two draws - with the other team from the city of the Beatles - Everton on this field - 2: 2 and outside against Burnley - 1: 1 with an equalizing goal of Bamford in the 86th minute. It won't be easy today, Koch is injured and Rafinha is quarantined,
Liverpool finished the strongest with five consecutive victories in the last campaign, but this was only for the third position. This hardly meets the high expectations of their fans, especially after winning the title two seasons ago after a break of 30 years, and no one imagines waiting such a long time for the next trophy. But in the interest of truth, according to many, the competition this season is even greater, for the two teams from Manchester, for very serious potential contenders are London's Chelsea and Tottenham. So Jurgen Klopp's "Reds" are facing a season of serious challenges, and the beginning is not bad - a clear victory over Norwich as a guest with 3: 0, in the two games at Anfield first 2: 0 against Burnley, then 1: 1 with Chelsea . This draw was perceived as a failure after the "Merseysiders" they played a whole second half with more people and despite the huge advantage and a number of situations, they failed to win. Firmino and Milner are injured, Alison and Fabinho are in quarantine.
Last season, after a break of 16 years, the two teams met again in the Premier League - in the first round of Anfield Liverpool beat Leeds 4: 3 with a winning goal from a penalty by Mo Salah in the 88th minute, and on this field the match ended draw - 1: 1, this time the "Whites" finally scored through Llorente in the 87th minute. And today there will be late dramas, according to experts giving a serious advantage to guests, hardly. The tips are for goal / goal yes and no, over 2.5 goals, 1X and 2. You see, almost everything is covered, it's not very helpful. We are inclined to support the top tip based on these two games and the absence of Alison at the door of the guests - goal / goal prediction and success!
Leeds seem to be weak in attack
Leeds are still looking for their first Premier League victory since the start of the new season.
But the truth is that this will hardly happen soon. And even less exactly in this meeting.
It is very easy to argue this opinion.
And with the most accurate and impartial referee, which reflects the real reality happening on the field for each team.
Here are some of these figures.
This season so far Leeds have only 1.13 xGF ( expected goals scored ) per game and 1.60 xGA (allowed).
Here is the key.
If in defense Leeds have remained at approximately the same mediocre level since last season with 1.72 xGA then.
In attack they have greatly lowered their level of performance.
In the last campaign they were with 1.63 xGF. Which was even one of the best indicators in the Premier League.
And it was because of him that they had a smooth existence in the football elite of England.
Liverpool creates many situations
At the same time, Liverpool are performing at over 2.5 xGF on average per game.
And this means that they will have no problems in creating, let alone realizing goal positions.
And especially against protection like that of their hosts today.
Even more so in the conditions of the form in which both Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane are undoubtedly.
Prediction for Leeds - Liverpool
Among other things, Leeds traditionally play hard against the Top 6 teams.
And for reference, I will note that they lost more than half of their meetings with them last season.
A victory for Liverpool with a small Asian Handicap is my choice for a prediction with almost the maximum bet.
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Leeds have won just 1 of their last 10 games: 1-4-5.
- He has over 2.5 goals in 8 of Leeds' last 9 games.
- He has scored in 10 of his last 12 Leeds games.
- Liverpool is in a series of 7 games without a loss: 5-2-0.
- Liverpool is in a series of 10 games without a loss to Leeds: 7-3-0.