Juventus - Napoli Football Prediction, Betting Tip & Match Preview

PREVIEWS 1366 views 07-04-21

Juventus and Napoli in the battle for the Top 4!

The issue of the Serie A title is not on the agenda before Juventus and Napoli.

But the fight for a place to secure the Champions League will be fierce.

Both teams are 4th and 5th in the table with the same number of points and separated only by their goal difference.

In addition to an advantage over a direct opponent, the winner of this match will win a position increase in the standings.

There are only 9 rounds left until the end of the championship. And only victory matters.

In my opinion, some injustices will be corrected in this meeting.

I must tell you, for example, that according to xG data, Juventus should be leaders in the standings. And Napoli to be only 6th.

Keep in mind that this is the most reliable indicator that takes into account the actual game shown by the teams.

Where then does the huge discrepancy between game quality and achieved results come from?

For Juventus, for example, the sure thing is that they are the team with the strongest defense in Serie A.

But they are only 4th in goals scored compared to the Top 6 teams.

And notice, this is provided that at the same time they are the team that creates the most goal positions according to xG statistics .

It turns out that only Lazio and Roma have a greater negative attitude realized / created goal positions.

The other top teams, including Napoli, are therefore superior to Juventus.

This is where I expect significant improvement from the Old Lady.

While at the same time their opponents can not maintain long better performance than what they actually showed with the game.

The last match between these two teams was won by Napoli 1-0. Undeservedly.

xG stat was 2.47 against 1.04 in favor of Juventus.

Hit 8 and only 2 accurate for the Sky Blues. Against 23 and 6 correct for the Bianconeri.

Juventus pressed so hard that Napoli did not make more than 6 passes between them.

According to xG for the last few meetings Juventus are:

All this is in their favor. If, however, someone decides to oppose me, judging by the form only by the final results.

Juventus are expected to be a strong host and with the fewest goals conceded at home.

Napoli are in a series of 4 victories. And they make a very strong season.

The big change is their strong play in defense added to the traditionally flawless attack.

However, there is an over-efficiency in the implementation, which significantly exceeds the created situations.

This cannot last long.

The injustice of the first meeting of the season between these two teams.

As well as the anomaly in the realization and created situations, can be resolved on a 3 in 1 basis with a victory for Juventus in this match.

The combination with at least 8 corners in the match created a good odds for me, which I will bet on with an average bet.

Mathematical prediction

Juventus have won 10 of their last 13 home games: 10-2-1.
Juventus have won 7 of the last 8 home games against Napoli.
He has over 2.5 goals in 5 of Juventus' last 6 games.
Napoli have not lost in their last 7 games: 6-1-0.
Cristiano Ronaldo is Juventus' top scorer with 24 goals. Lorenzo Insine has 14 for Napoli.

Last 5 Juventus games:

Last 5 Napoli matches:

Last 5 direct meetings: