Granada has the weakest defense
Granada had a very good season. And they have no difficulty surviving.
What was more interesting for me, however, was to find out what was the reason for their success, given an incredible discrepancy.
It's about the difference between their 10th place in La Liga and the penultimate in the ranking of teams on xG data .
It turned out that they are the team that does not know how to play for a result. That is, he either loses or wins.
But in this way, on the one hand, are the team with the fewest draws in La Liga.
On the other hand, with 13 victories, they are the 7th only after the top teams in the number of victories for the season.
And all this is happening on the basis that they are the team with the weakest defense in the league.
This type of team is absolutely unpredictable.
They make successful matches in which a winner is always announced.
They also make surprises against the top teams. Having already beaten both Barcelona and Sevilla this season.
They will be without the services of their top goal scorer Roberto Soldado due to punishment.
Vallejo and Duarte are in question due to injuries. And the permanently injured remain in the hospital.
Real Madrid will fight to the last
Real Madrid remained the only team to fight Atletico for the La Liga title.
After Barcelona's suicidal draw with Levante.
But the problem is that the Whites are literally ruined by injuries to players.
Which does not speak well for the management of such a team.
Carvajal, Vazquez, Ramos and Mendi are out. Marcelo, Odrizola and Varane are in question.
Prediction for Granada - Real Madrid
It turns out that in this match two very crippled teams meet.
As the hosts, there is really not much to play for anymore. And if the guests do not win, they will determine the champion in La Liga.
In such circumstances, I will try to bet on the following scenario.
Real Madrid, given the defensive problems, to allow a goal. And then the match goes to Over goals.
I also assume that the White Ballet can try to insure itself against mistakes in defense with compensatory realization of goals.
In both cases there will be a victory for the guests and hits on the border 3.
However, I say victory for Real Madrid not for anything else, but only because I think that the intrigue for the title will not be allowed to be killed.
And even more influential influence in the direction of the Royal Club is possible. Let's see.
Top facts and trends
- Granada have lost 8 of their last 11 games: 3-0-8.
- Granada have lost their last 11 games against Real Madrid.
- Real Madrid have won just 2 of their last 8 games: 2-5-1.
- Real Madrid is in a series of 15 games without a loss in La Liga: 10-5-0.
- Roberto Soldado (punished) is Granada 's top scorer with 9 goals. Karim Benzema has 21 for Real Madrid.