Fulham is under pressure
Fulham are the 3rd weakest guest and the second weakest host. This naturally gives them the third lowest place in the Premier League standings.
They deserved to win a match for 6 points away from UBA. But they only did 2-2 and just didn't get lucky. Probably their fate returned for their undeserved zero draw with Brighton in the previous round. Where they were outplayed.
In this way, Fulham have already won 10 consecutive games without a victory in the Premier League.
Leicester is a strong guest
Leicester are undoubtedly having another good season. And they were in 4th place before the matches of this round. However, they broke their long streak of 9 games without a loss with a 1-3 defeat by Leeds.
How much they deserved such a fate is a bit controversial. But we are still talking about a household loss. I emphasize this because Leicester, although the 6th strongest host, are far more successful as the 2nd strongest guest. The game of counter-attack is their element.
The big absences from the Foxes for this meeting are Wilfred Ndidi and Jamie Vardy.
Prediction for Fulham - Leicester
For this match, both I and the bookmakers are aware that there will be a lot of betting on the higher ranked and more popular team of Leicester. But is it worth it? Judge for yourself.
First, the last meeting between these teams ended in victory for Fulham. Also, the Londoners have not lost in their last 5 Fox home games in all competitions.
These facts are, of course, history. But here is another point of view that is much more relevant. Leicester, Liverpool, Man United and Aston Villa are the 4 strongest counter-attacking away teams. Let's see what happened in Fulham's households against them.
A 0-3 loss to Aston Villa at the start of the season, when no one had yet suggested their strong weapon. Then a minimal 1-2 loss to Man Yun and a 1-1 draw with Liverpool when Fulham were already playing with a low defensive block.
At the same time he managed to lead in both meetings. Do you remember that this is exactly what they will offer in this match as well? And if they lead again, will Leicester be able to turn the game around?
And will the Foxes take the victory at all without the important absentees and after a loss without them? If you think seriously about these questions, you will agree with me that there is no value in any bet for a "2" sign.
Fulham, however, are the roughest team in the English Premier League. With 39 yellow and 3 red cards for 20 matches played, according to the bookmaker's scoring, they have an average of over 2 cards per match.
Odds of 1.80 for at least 2 cards of Fulham in a high-voltage match is a real treasure. And it can't be overlooked, considering the available 5 roughest players in the squad.
Almost the maximum bet here.
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Fulham have not won in their last 12 games: 0-8-4.
- Fulham have not won in 7 home games: 0-3-4.
- Leicester are unbeaten in their last 7 visits, winning 5.
- Leicester scored an average of 2.20 goals per game away.
- Bobby Reed has more yellow cards (5) than any other Fulham player. Johnny Evans is 5 for Leicester.
Last matches: FULHAM
|30.01.21||PL||West Brom||Fulham||2:2 D|
|20.01.21||PL||Fulham||Manchester Utd||1:2 L|
Last matches: LEICESTER
Head-to-head matches: FULHAM - LEICESTER
For my prediction, I am counting on success for LEICESTER to win or draw.