Villarreal will be more motivated
First of all, I would like to point out that this UEFA Super Cup is not highly respected.
For obvious reasons, the greats of the continent fight for it every year.
And that automatically means that their financial backing is probably insufficient for them.
However, this is true only in the general case. And it is certainly not valid in this particular case, at least for Villarreal.
Chelsea has more experience
I continue to compare the two teams in parallel according to as many criteria as possible.
Chelsea is historically the most successful club in Euro tournaments. And that's why he played 4 times for this cup. And Villarreal is a debutant for her.
Yes, but Chelsea only won it once.
And their experience is neutralized by the larger one of Unai Emery compared to that of Thomas Tuhel.
Both for the Super Cup in particular and in the Euro tournaments in general.
There are, so far, only rumors that the Blues of London will be without a large number of their starters.
For various reasons, we do not need to list them. And how true it is, we will know only before the match.
Villarreal's advantage of a more complete squad is parried, however, by the expected absence of Danny Parejo.
On whom the Spaniards are highly dependent in their performance.
Top trend for the Super Cup
There is a clear trend in the last 6 editions of the matches for this cup - to have overtime and even penalties.
As only once the dispute was resolved in regular time.
Chelsea will be defensive again
This season, Thomas Tuchel is expected to continue in the same defensive style of play that brought him success.
And just upgrade it with some small details.
One of them is called Romelu Lukaku.
But it is not yet certain whether he signed with them. And even less, whether he will take part in the Super Cup match at all.
Villarreal did not win the controls
There is only one big difference that I notice between the two teams.
Chelsea have not suffered a single loss in pre-season training. And Villarreal have not won a single game.
This, of course, is not essential.
Because we do not know the attitude of the two mentors to the friendly meetings.
Forecast for Chelsea - Villarreal
I just wonder if it was the results of the controls, as well as the fact that the match will be in Belfast, that tipped the scales so hard in favor of Chelsea, according to the bookmaker.
However, I suspect that this is just a form of reinsurance by the millions of English football fans who will bet on Londoners.
It is reasonable to wait until the match to increase the odds of the forecast for Chelsea - Villarreal, which I offer you.
But it is not a big mistake to make a bet now.
The truth in sports betting is in the assessment of probabilities.
For this match, according to the bookmaker, they are distributed as follows:
In total, it is over 100% due to the margin with which the bookie guarantees income on each sign.
But if you, like me, believe that the probability of Villarreal not losing this match is at least 50%, you are obliged to make the bet I offer you.
Probable starting lineups
Chelsea : Mandy; Zuma, Thiago Silva, Rüdiger; James, Kante, Kovacic, Alonso; Havertz, Ziesch; Werner.
Villarreal : Asenjo; Gaspar, Albiol, Pau Torres, Pedraza; Trigeros, Morlanes, Capua, Yremi; Gerard, Fer Niño.
Top facts and statistics for the match
- Chelsea have not lost in their last 5 games: 4-1-0.
- Goal / Goal & Over 2.5 have in 6 of their last 7 Chelsea games.
- Villarreal have not won in their last 8 games: 0-4-4.
- Villarreal have conceded 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 games.
- Goal / Goal & Over 2.5 have in 5 of their last 6 games at Villarreal.