Chelsea is the favorite against Palace
After the arrival of Thomas Tuchel, Chelsea not only won the Champions League.
But they also set an incredible record with 0.68 xGA ( expected goals conceded ) for the 19 games under his leadership.
At the same time, they were the team with the most xPTS (expected points) per game during the same period.
However, the inability to use the created goal positions remained a problem for them.
Now with the attraction of Romelu Lukaku, the London Blues hope to improve this indicator as well.
Crystal Palace replaced manager Roy Hodgson with Patrick Vieira.
This is a bit of a dubious replacement. Because Vieira had bad results in Nice as a coach.
More about the Premier League: Norwich - Liverpool
Prediction for Chelsea - Crystal Palace
In the end, we can say that Crystal Palace managed not to lose 47% of their away games last season.
Against Big 6, however, did not lose only two, ie about 33%. Specifically against Chelsea, they have won only 20% of their visits.
Thus, the chance that the guests will not lose and this meeting is small. And no more than 30%.
But with this Asian Handicap that I offer you in my prediction, the stakes are greatly improved.
Crystal Palace will probably play very defensively.
And Chelsea's problem converting the situation could continue.
A draw or a minimal loss with one goal for Palace increases the probability of about 50%. And the bet is made with + EV .
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Top facts and statistics for the match
- Chelsea have not lost in their last 6 games: 4-2-0.
- There are goals / goals in the last 5 games for Chelsea.
- Palace have not lost in their last 4 games: 3-1-0.
- Palace is in a series of 7 consecutive losses against Chelsea.