Aston Villa - Leeds Prediction and Analysis
Aston Villa host survival-fighting Leeds in the first game of the new Premier League round.
Villa's 'Friday curse' has seen them lose 6 of their last 9 Premier League games played on a Friday.
Which is hardly a good premise in their attempt to continue their streak of 5 games without a loss against Leeds (3-2-0).
Although they only managed a 0-0 draw in the last match of this series.
But Aston Villa's goalscoring record has improved dramatically since the appointment of Unai Emery.
This is clearly evident in their average of 1.9 goals scored per game in the Premier League.
Compared to 0.6 in the first 11 games under Steven Gerrard.
Meanwhile, Leeds have conceded 2+ goals in four of their last five games .
And the pressure on manager Jesse Marsh is mounting.
The 3.5 goal line has been covered in 3 of Birmingham's last 4 Premier League home games.
For their part, Leeds recorded 5 such results (over 3.5 goals) in their last 7 official matches .
For this reason, I have chosen for you in today's match this prediction: over 3.5 goals.
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Aston Villa - statistics and info
Aston Villa are chasing their first top-flight finish in the Premier League since 2010/11.
League Two club Stevenage produced an unlikely late comeback to beat Unai Emery's side 2-1 in Sunday's FA Cup tie.
Leaving the hosts embarrassed after the match.
A return to the Premier League could offer a different performance from the Birmingham men.
As Villa are unbeaten in 4 of their 5 Premier League games under Emery (W3 D1).
Including a 1-1 draw with Wolverhampton last time out.
With 10th-placed Chelsea just 3 points adrift, the Lions can claim a long-awaited finish at the top of the league.
Although they have won just 33% of their games this season in the Premier League (6-4-8).
Leeds - statistics and info
Visiting Leeds are in a more precarious position.
Having failed to win any of their last 4 league matches (two draws and two losses).
Including an action-packed 2-2 draw at home to West Ham last week.
Jesse Marsh's men are currently just two points clear of the top team in the danger zone , 18th-placed Everton.
It is clear that the Whites will be fighting relegation again this year along with at least a dozen other teams.
Leeds failed to beat second-tier Cardiff in Sunday's FA Cup clash.
However, overturning a 0-2 half-time deficit to secure a 2-2 draw and a replay could do their mental good ahead of today's clash.
But the team's fans can't help but be worried, because their favorites play very poorly away - 1-2-5 in 8 visits so far.
Squads and injured footballers
Aston Villa
Lineup: Martinez; Young, Konsa, Mings, Dine; Cash, Camara, Luis, Buendia; Watkins, Bailey
Injured: McGinn, Carlos, Agustinson (questionable)
Penalties: Dendoncker
Leeds
Lineup: Meslie; Ayling, Koch, Cooper, Struik; Rocca, Adams; Aaronson, Gnoto, Somerville; Rodrigo
Injured: Sinistera, Forshaw, Gray, Dallas
Penalties: none
League standings and form
# | Team | M | P | R | H | OG | DG | T | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arsenal | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 14 | 44 | |
2 | Man City | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 16 | 39 | |
3 | Newcastle | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 32 | 11 | 35 | |
4 | Man Utd | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 35 | |
5 | Tottenham | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 25 | 33 | |
6 | Liverpool | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 28 | |
7 | Fulham | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 28 | |
8 | Brighton | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 27 | |
9 | Brentford | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 28 | 26 | |
10 | Chelsea | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 25 | |
11 | Aston Villa | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 22 | |
12 | Palace | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 22 | |
13 | Leicester | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 17 | |
14 | Leeds | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 17 | |
15 | Nottingham | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 17 | |
16 | Bournemouth | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 16 | |
17 | West Ham | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 24 | 15 | |
18 | Everton | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 15 | |
19 | Wolves | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 27 | 14 | |
20 | Southampton | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 12 |
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